Wednesday, December 21, 2005

The Belmont Club on disputed Iraq elections: "This was one of the first elections of its type in that part of the world, and it's likely, in my opinion, that there were problems in the voting and the counting. The US will be probably be relied upon by all parties, to keep the level of cheating down to the level where results are acceptable. That probably means that the vote count itself will only be one source of input in a hybrid system that will eventually be (in my view) be a negotiated electoral result. The balance will be correct when nobody rushes out to restart hostilities. That means it's acceptable."

The US presence means the hostilities will NOT restart on a major level. How much will the US support Sunnis against majoritarian Shia?

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