IRAQ THE MODEL: "This morning, al-Sabah published semifinal estimations of seat-allocations, it went like this:

UIA: 130 seats.
Accord Front: 42 seats.
Kurdish alliance: 52 seats.
Iraqi list (Allawi): 25 seats.
Dialogue Front (al-Mutlaq): 11 seats.
Islamic Union of Kurdistan: 5 seats.
Reconciliation and Liberation Front (Mish’an al-Juboori): 3 seats.
Each of Mithal al-Alusi, Risalioon (Sadrists), Rafidain (Christians) and Turkmen Front won 1 seat.
3 remaining seats will go to other religious/ethnic minorities, probably Mendaeen, Ezedyeen."

The number of seats reflects the power. Some 275 seats? The UIA is not quite a majority, alone. But pretty close. This is scary for the Sunnis, the Kurds, and the secular.